dc.contributor.author | Anggarani, Riesta | |
dc.contributor.author | Watada, Junzo | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-07-19T08:48:50Z | |
dc.date.available | 2012-07-19T08:48:50Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2012-02-27 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/123456789/20455 | |
dc.description | International Conference on Man Machine Systems (ICoMMS 2012) organized by School of Mechatronic Engineering, co-organized by The Institute of Engineer, Malaysia (IEM) and Society of Engineering Education Malaysia, 27th - 28th February 2012 at Bayview Beach Resort, Penang, Malaysia. | en_US |
dc.description.abstract | Indonesia is facing the discrepancy problem of the
realized amount of gasoline consumption from the planned
consumption. The discrepancy has burdened Indonesian
national’s budget, because these unplanned imported amount of
gasoline has increased government payment to the importer. In
order to decrease this discrepancy, we intend to build a more
accurate estimation model of the gasoline consumption in
Indonesia. The objectives of this research are to develop a robust
and accurate model to forecast future gasoline consumption and
to provide an attractive alternative for gasoline consumption
modeling by applying a metaheuristic approach. Utilizing general
socioeconomic variables that can be retrieved from public data
easily, we apply the Harmony Search (HS) algorithm to develop a
model of gasoline consumption in Indonesia. The HS algorithm
works to optimize the weight factors within the proposed
mathematic models. Three Harmony Search algorithm-based
models are proposed in this study: HS-Quadratic, HS-Linear,
and HS-Exponential. Variables used in these models are
Indonesian GDP, Indonesian population, and the total number of
passenger cars and motorcycles in Indonesia. The HS-based
Exponential model outperforms the other models. Its Mean
Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) reached 10.46%, while HSbased
Linear model and HS-based Quadratic model obtained
12.15% and 18.514%, respectively. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.publisher | Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | Proceedings of the International Conference on Man-Machine Systems (ICoMMS 2012) | en_US |
dc.subject | Harmony Search algorithm | en_US |
dc.subject | Gasoline consumption | en_US |
dc.subject | Indonesia | en_US |
dc.subject | Metaheuristic algorithms | en_US |
dc.title | Harmony Search algorithm-based gasoline consumption modeling for Indonesia | en_US |
dc.type | Working Paper | en_US |
dc.publisher.department | School of Mechatronic Engineering | en_US |
dc.contributor.url | riesta@akane.waseda.jp | en_US |
dc.contributor.url | junzo.watada@gmail.com | en_US |